The Republican Win in Purple Montana

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Spock
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The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#1 Post by Spock » Fri May 26, 2017 1:43 pm

As i predicted, the Republican win in Purple Montana seems to have been consigned to the memory hole-(see also the 2017 Omaha Mayoral race).

It is funny that those here who breathlessly analyze polls taken 2 years out are not dissecting the results of this race.

Might the outcome (in a purple state )be a sign that the people don't hate Trump as much as some hope they do?

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jarnon
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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#2 Post by jarnon » Fri May 26, 2017 1:51 pm

Spock wrote:As i predicted, the Republican win in Purple Montana seems to have been consigned to the memory hole-(see also the 2017 Omaha Mayoral race).

It is funny that those here who breathlessly analyze polls taken 2 years out are not dissecting the results of this race.

Might the outcome (in a purple state )be a sign that the people don't hate Trump as much as some hope they do?
Well, his margin of victory was less than Trump's. Still, it's like Trump said: He could shoot somebody in the middle of Fifth Avenue, and his supporters would stick with him.
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Bob78164
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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#3 Post by Bob78164 » Fri May 26, 2017 2:19 pm

Spock wrote:As i predicted, the Republican win in Purple Montana seems to have been consigned to the memory hole-(see also the 2017 Omaha Mayoral race).

It is funny that those here who breathlessly analyze polls taken 2 years out are not dissecting the results of this race.

Might the outcome (in a purple state )be a sign that the people don't hate Trump as much as some hope they do?
Montana isn't particularly purple. According to Nate Silver, the results in KS-04 and MT-AL, along with polling in GA-06, are consistent with an environment in which control of the House is very much up for grabs, notwithstanding the Republicans' best gerrymandering efforts. --Bob
"Question with boldness even the existence of a God; because, if there be one, he must more approve of the homage of reason than that of blindfolded fear." Thomas Jefferson

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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#4 Post by silverscreenselect » Fri May 26, 2017 2:42 pm

The Cook PVI measures how Democratic or Republican a District is compared to the nation as a whole. If a district has a PVI of R +10, then a generic Republican candidate in that district should get roughly 60% of the vote in a two person race. So far, Kansas-4 had a PVI of R +15, and MT-AL had a PVI of R +11. The Democratic candidate in each of those races lost by 7 and 6 points total. That's a swing of over 15 points in each election. If that happens across the board, then there won't be any Republican representatives left in states like California and New York.

For the record, the two remaining races, Georgia-6 has a PVI of R +8 and SC-5 has a PVI of R +9.

I'm disappointed in last night's election results, but the overall trends are positive. What's more, there is no sign that Donald Trump is going to right his ship and so anything to start winning over people again.

Here's the complete PVI: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Part ... ting_Index
Check out our website: http://www.silverscreenvideos.com

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Bob Juch
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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#5 Post by Bob Juch » Fri May 26, 2017 3:14 pm

Bob78164 wrote:
Spock wrote:As i predicted, the Republican win in Purple Montana seems to have been consigned to the memory hole-(see also the 2017 Omaha Mayoral race).

It is funny that those here who breathlessly analyze polls taken 2 years out are not dissecting the results of this race.

Might the outcome (in a purple state )be a sign that the people don't hate Trump as much as some hope they do?
Montana isn't particularly purple. According to Nate Silver, the results in KS-04 and MT-AL, along with polling in GA-06, are consistent with an environment in which control of the House is very much up for grabs, notwithstanding the Republicans' best gerrymandering efforts. --Bob
I can guarantee you that they did not gerrymander Congressional districts in Montana.
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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#6 Post by flockofseagulls104 » Fri May 26, 2017 6:16 pm

Don't despair, dems. You still have His Highness Jon Ossoff to hang all your hopes and dreams on.
Your friendly neighborhood racist. On the waiting list to be a nazi. Designated an honorary 'snowflake'. Trolled by the very best, as well as by BJ. Always typical, unlike others.., Fulminator, Hopelessly in the tank for trump... inappropriate... Flocking himself... Probably a tucking sexist, too... All thought comes from the right wing noise machine(TM)... A clear and present threat to The Future Of Our Democracy.. Doesn't understand anything... Made the trump apologist and enabler playoffs... Heathen bastard... Knows nothing about history... Liar.... don't know much about statistics and polling... Nothing at all about biology... Ignorant Bigot... Potential Future Pariah... Big Nerd... Spiraling, Anti-Trans Bigot.. A Lunatic AND a Bigot.. Very Ignorant of the World in General... Sounds deranged... Fake Christian... Weird... has the mind of a child... has paranoid delusions... Simpleton

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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#7 Post by eyégor » Wed May 31, 2017 12:29 pm

flockofseagulls104 wrote:Don't despair, dems. You still have His Highness Jon Ossoff to hang all your hopes and dreams on.
I hear he wants to tear down Gulls Field

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Re: The Republican Win in Purple Montana

#8 Post by flockofseagulls104 » Wed May 31, 2017 1:25 pm

Gulls Field was abandoned many years ago when the Gulls moved to Arkansas and built their stadium in Little Flock. Once the park in Little Flock was finally completed, the Gulls moved to the Pacific Northwest, eventually settling in Olympia. They are currently building the world's first floating ballpark in an inlet of Puget Sound. In the meantime, they play home games at low tide in Mud Bay.

The Original Gulls Field in Atlanta was demolished by implosion to make way for a new state of the art stadium for the Atlanta Braves and Falcons. Unfortunately, there was a game taking place when the implosion was set off. Joe Mays suffered a head injury during that incident, and to this day he believes he is Pee Wee Herman.

The new state of the art stadium for the Braves and Falcons, named Ossoff Stadium, was constructed using 10 billion dollars of taxpayer money and was completed in 2014. It was immediately declared obsolete, and Sun Trust Park and Mercedes Benz Done were built in its place. It is currently being used as a self service laundromat.
Your friendly neighborhood racist. On the waiting list to be a nazi. Designated an honorary 'snowflake'. Trolled by the very best, as well as by BJ. Always typical, unlike others.., Fulminator, Hopelessly in the tank for trump... inappropriate... Flocking himself... Probably a tucking sexist, too... All thought comes from the right wing noise machine(TM)... A clear and present threat to The Future Of Our Democracy.. Doesn't understand anything... Made the trump apologist and enabler playoffs... Heathen bastard... Knows nothing about history... Liar.... don't know much about statistics and polling... Nothing at all about biology... Ignorant Bigot... Potential Future Pariah... Big Nerd... Spiraling, Anti-Trans Bigot.. A Lunatic AND a Bigot.. Very Ignorant of the World in General... Sounds deranged... Fake Christian... Weird... has the mind of a child... has paranoid delusions... Simpleton

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