WWTBAM Bored

Bob78164 wrote:

silverscreenselect wrote:

BackInTex wrote:

Well, I'm not sure where they got that information, because I went to the source, the US Census Bureau statistics and they tell a different story.

According to the Census Bureau, the 3 year average poverty level in the US 2015-17 was 12.8% and for 2016-17, it was 12.5%. (They don't list figures for just 2017.)

California was above the national average at 13.4%/13.2%, but it was below Texas at 14.0/13.6%. As you might guess, states like Alabama and Mississippi were significantly higher.

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/2018 ... 0-263.html

I think they're using one of the tables (I don't know which one) from this page. The figure isn't the official poverty measurement because it's adjusted to account for local cost of living. California's cost of housing is extremely high, and that's what fuels our position by that adjusted measure. --Bob

Consumer confidence rose in September, notching its highest level in about 18 years.

The Consumer Board's index rose to 138.4 this month from 134.7 in August. Economists polled by Reuters expected consumer confidence to dip to 132.

Forty-five percent of Americans now have a favorable view of the Republican Party, a nine-point gain from last September's 36%. It is the party's most positive image since it registered 47% in January 2011, shortly after taking control of the House in the 2010 midterm elections. Forty-four percent give the Democratic Party a favorable rating.

BackInTex wrote:Consumer confidence at its highest level in about 18 years.

Consumer confidence rose in September, notching its highest level in about 18 years.

The Consumer Board's index rose to 138.4 this month from 134.7 in August. Economists polled by Reuters expected consumer confidence to dip to 132.

Consumers’ assessment of current conditions held steady in September. Those stating business conditions are “good” increased from 40.5 percent to 41.4 percent, while those saying business conditions are “bad” declined marginally from 9.3 percent to 9.1 percent. Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was somewhat more favorable. Those claiming jobs are “plentiful” increased from 42.3 percent to 45.7 percent, but those claiming jobs are “hard to get” increased from 12.1 percent to 13.2 percent.

Bob Juch wrote:

BackInTex wrote:Consumer confidence at its highest level in about 18 years.

Consumer confidence rose in September, notching its highest level in about 18 years.

The Consumer Board's index rose to 138.4 this month from 134.7 in August. Economists polled by Reuters expected consumer confidence to dip to 132.

From their report:

Consumers’ assessment of current conditions held steady in September. Those stating business conditions are “good” increased from 40.5 percent to 41.4 percent, while those saying business conditions are “bad” declined marginally from 9.3 percent to 9.1 percent. Consumers’ assessment of the labor market was somewhat more favorable. Those claiming jobs are “plentiful” increased from 42.3 percent to 45.7 percent, but those claiming jobs are “hard to get” increased from 12.1 percent to 13.2 percent.

That's nothing to brag about.

A new survey by Public Policy Polling finds that Republicans are in trouble on the issue of the Affordable Care Act and pre-existing conditions as Texas voters say they are less likely to support Republicans due to their stance on health care. In Texas’s 7th Congressional District, a plurality of voters (46%) say they are less likely to vote for Congressman John Culberson because of his effort to repeal the ACA.

The Trump administration recently went to court to eliminate the health care law’s protections for people with pre-existing conditions, and voters overwhelmingly oppose their action. 62% oppose the lawsuit, including 50% of Republicans. Texans are also less likely to vote for Republicans who stayed silent on this lawsuit. A plurality of voters (45%) say they are less likely to vote for Congressman Culberson because of his silence on the lawsuit.

In a preview of the November election, Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher holds a slight lead over Republican John Culberson, 47-45.

silverscreenselect wrote:Here's some good news for BiT, for those occasions in which he will still call Texas home:

A new survey by Public Policy Polling finds that Republicans are in trouble on the issue of the Affordable Care Act and pre-existing conditions as Texas voters say they are less likely to support Republicans due to their stance on health care. In Texas’s 7th Congressional District, a plurality of voters (46%) say they are less likely to vote for Congressman John Culberson because of his effort to repeal the ACA.

The Trump administration recently went to court to eliminate the health care law’s protections for people with pre-existing conditions, and voters overwhelmingly oppose their action. 62% oppose the lawsuit, including 50% of Republicans. Texans are also less likely to vote for Republicans who stayed silent on this lawsuit. A plurality of voters (45%) say they are less likely to vote for Congressman Culberson because of his silence on the lawsuit.

In a preview of the November election, Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher holds a slight lead over Republican John Culberson, 47-45.

https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-conte ... ept-21.pdf

Estonut wrote:Here's more:
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

On Friday, the latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll was released, and it showed that 51 percent of likely voters approve of the job Trump is doing.

That is higher than Obama's approval rating was at the same point in his presidency.

silverscreenselect wrote:

Estonut wrote:Here's more:
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

On Friday, the latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll was released, and it showed that 51 percent of likely voters approve of the job Trump is doing.

That is higher than Obama's approval rating was at the same point in his presidency.

Trump has "taken advantage" of the fact that he's been relatively on the sidelines in the major news of the last couple of weeks. And the Rasmussen poll skews right.

You are a Trump enabler. You profess to disagree with him, generally on his style, but leap to his defense every single time on this Bored, generally by parroting the party line that goes through the right wing noise machine.

silverscreenselect wrote:New CNN Poll:

Trump Approval Rating (10/4-7): Approve 41%; Disapprove 52%
Did You Want Kavanaugh Confirmed: Yes 41%; No 51%
Did You Want Gorsuch Confirmed (poll taken at similar time in confirmation process): Yes 49%; No 36%
Impression of Kavanaugh: Positive 35%; Negative 47%
Impression of Gorsuch: Positive 39%; Negative 24% (31% had neither a positive or negative impression)
Approve of the way Republicans are handling the hearings: Yes 35%; No 55%
Approve of the way Democrats are handling the hearings; Ys 36%; No 56%
Has Kavanaugh's personal conduct disqualified him from the Supreme Court: Yes 50%; N0 43%
Do you believe the women or Kavanaugh? Women 52%; Kavanaugh 38%

58% of registered voters who said they were very enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming elections opposed Kavanaugh's confirmation, while only 40% favored it.

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/0 ... anaugh.pdf

flockofseagulls104 wrote:How many shits do you give about what the polls say? None-80%, One-15.1%, Other-2.9%, Don't give a shit about this question-4.9%, Unintelligible-9.1%,no answer, just a disparaging comment about trump-2.8% Margin of error 99%

silverscreenselect wrote:

flockofseagulls104 wrote:How many shits do you give about what the polls say? None-80%, One-15.1%, Other-2.9%, Don't give a shit about this question-4.9%, Unintelligible-9.1%,no answer, just a disparaging comment about trump-2.8% Margin of error 99%

The Republican Party and various Republican candidates do give a shit about what polls say since they commission a whole lot of them during election season (so do the Democrats).

Science isn't really your thing is it Flock (and yes, statistics is a science although polling due to the inherent difficulty in selecting a representative sample).

silverscreenselect wrote:

flockofseagulls104 wrote:How many shits do you give about what the polls say? None-80%, One-15.1%, Other-2.9%, Don't give a shit about this question-4.9%, Unintelligible-9.1%,no answer, just a disparaging comment about trump-2.8% Margin of error 99%

The Republican Party and various Republican candidates do give a shit about what polls say since they commission a whole lot of them during election season (so do the Democrats).

Science isn't really your thing is it Flock (and yes, statistics is a science although polling due to the inherent difficulty in selecting a representative sample).

flockofseagulls104 wrote:

silverscreenselect wrote:

flockofseagulls104 wrote:How many shits do you give about what the polls say? None-80%, One-15.1%, Other-2.9%, Don't give a shit about this question-4.9%, Unintelligible-9.1%,no answer, just a disparaging comment about trump-2.8% Margin of error 99%

The Republican Party and various Republican candidates do give a shit about what polls say since they commission a whole lot of them during election season (so do the Democrats).

Science isn't really your thing is it Flock (and yes, statistics is a science although polling due to the inherent difficulty in selecting a representative sample).

No shit, sherlock. BTW, Mr. Ryerson, here it is so you can ignore it again: I AM NOT A REPUBLICAN. I AM NOT A DEMOCRAT. I don't give a shit about polls. They may be useful to the candidates, but no poll is going to convince me to change my mind about anything. I think reporting on polls is a waste of time. I think the polls probably were an actual legitimate reason why Clinton lost. I'm sure many people didn't bother to vote because the polls were SOOOOO sure she would win.

Bob Juch wrote: I AM NOT A REPUBLICAN.

silverscreenselect wrote:

Bob Juch wrote: I AM NOT A REPUBLICAN.

No, you just talk and act like one 99% of the time (except when you give Donald Trump a thumbs down on his style points).

Beebs52 wrote:

silverscreenselect wrote:

Bob Juch wrote: I AM NOT A REPUBLICAN.

No, you just talk and act like one 99% of the time (except when you give Donald Trump a thumbs down on his style points).

Hee hee. Quotes dude.

silverscreenselect wrote:

Bob Juch wrote: I AM NOT A REPUBLICAN.

No, you just talk and act like one 99% of the time (except when you give Donald Trump a thumbs down on his style points).

Bob78164 wrote:This study (published in August 2018 based on responses from 2017) may help explain why people seem unimpressed by how "well" the economy is doing. Most if the benefit is going to not very many people. In contrast, nearly 40% of the population faced economic hardship last year, in the form of not being able to timely pay one or more of their basic bills (shelter, utilities, food, or healthcare) in full and on time. (By nearly 40%, I mean more than 39%.)

silverscreenselect wrote:Trump's win in 2016 was largely due to his ...

BackInTex wrote:

silverscreenselect wrote:

BackInTex wrote: It will be very effective.

And as we get closer to election day you will see the economic news being used.

Out of mild curiosity, who is your current Congressperson? I want to keep track of this election to see how effective the good news is.

John Culberson. He will win.