WWTBAM Bored

I am seeing ads that say "A vote for Dan McCready is a vote for Nancy Pelosi".

McCready is a Democrat running in NC's District 9 against Mark Harris, the minister of Charlotte's First Baptist Church. McCready is a former Marine whose slogan has been Party Over Country, in that he doesn't want you to vote for him because of the D but because he intends to do what's best for everyone, regardless of party.

I just think if you want to get people not to vote for him, say something about him, not about a California politician we didn't vote for. It makes me think they don't have much strong to say about him. Neither he nor Harris has been willing to take much of a position on anything, though.

PS - I am in a different district from NC 9, but they are so gerrymandered around here, we will be hearing about this race for three more weeks.

Ritterskoop wrote:I am seeing ads that say "A vote for Dan McCready is a vote for Nancy Pelosi".

They've trotted out the Pelosi Boogeywoman ad campaigns here in the Virginia Seventh District in the last week. During the likely only debate between the candidates last night, Dave Brat invoked Pelosi repeatedly, as if she were the opposition candidate instead of Abigail Spanberger.

https://www.richmond.com/news/virginia/ ... 8d959.html

Pelosi was the featured speaker at a Delaware County Democrats fundraiser last week. All the candidates were fine with being seen with her.

They haven't forgotten about Hillary either. They keep mentioning that Democratic candidates are "cronies of Clinton."

The 538 forecasts for House and Senate change several times a day as they update information. Currently, they show Democrats with nearly an 85% chance to retake the House with an expected gain of 40 seats (they need 23 for a majority). The vote differential is currently 8.9% in favor of Democrats, the highest it's been in months.

Of course, the playing field is different in the Senate for various reasons. and the Democrats currently only have about a 20% chance there of regaining control as recent polling in ND, TN, and other places hasn't been that good lately.

The polls predict the House will turn Democratic while the GOP elects more Senators. That’s never happened before. Nate Silver posted a sophisticated analysis to explain it. Here’s a simpler explanation that I can understand: Republicans won in competitive House districts in 2016 along with Trump, while Democratic Senators running for re-election were elected in 2012 with Obama.