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 Post subject: Mid-terms predicition
PostPosted: Fri Nov 02, 2018 10:50 pm 
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Numbers after the election
Senate: Rep - 53, Dem - 45, Ind - 2
House: Rep - 230, Dem - 205

Much weeping an gnashing of teeth within the Dem party

I hope my math is correct. It IS Friday night.

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2018 5:14 am 
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BackInTex wrote:
Numbers after the election
Senate: Rep - 53, Dem - 45, Ind - 2
House: Rep - 230, Dem - 205

Much weeping an gnashing of teeth within the Dem party

I hope my math is correct. It IS Friday night.


Reminder to self. Bookmark this post too.

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2018 5:43 am 
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silverscreenselect wrote:
BackInTex wrote:
Numbers after the election
Senate: Rep - 53, Dem - 45, Ind - 2
House: Rep - 230, Dem - 205

Much weeping an gnashing of teeth within the Dem party

I hope my math is correct. It IS Friday night.
Reminder to self. Bookmark this post too.
Reminder to sss. You are technically incapable of setting a bookmark.

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2018 8:05 am 
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Senate:
R-52, D+I-48

House:
R-202, D-233

Some states will require runoffs in December to finalize results.


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PostPosted: Sat Nov 03, 2018 9:09 am 
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BackInTex wrote:
Numbers after the election
Senate: Rep - 53, Dem - 45, Ind - 2
House: Rep - 230, Dem - 205

Much weeping an gnashing of teeth within the Dem party

I hope my math is correct. It IS Friday night.
I'll take the over. In both Houses. --Bob

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PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2018 8:16 am 
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Bob78164 wrote:
BackInTex wrote:
Numbers after the election
Senate: Rep - 53, Dem - 45, Ind - 2
House: Rep - 230, Dem - 205

Much weeping an gnashing of teeth within the Dem party

I hope my math is correct. It IS Friday night.
I'll take the over. In both Houses. --Bob


You think after the election there will be more than 100 senators and more than 435 representatives?

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PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2018 9:04 am 
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BackInTex wrote:
You think after the election there will be more than 100 senators and more than 435 representatives?


It will only seem that way because the new Democrats will be so impressive.

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PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2018 1:20 pm 
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silverscreenselect wrote:
BackInTex wrote:
You think after the election there will be more than 100 senators and more than 435 representatives?


It will only seem that way because the new Democrats will be so impressive.


It does seem Bob doesn't know what he's talking about.

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PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2018 6:54 pm 
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either

Bob and Bob and SSS will beyotch

or Bit, Flock and Esto will Beyotch.

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PostPosted: Sun Nov 04, 2018 7:07 pm 
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a1mamacat wrote:
either

Bob and Bob and SSS will beyotch

or Bit, Flock and Esto will Beyotch.

I won't beyotch, because I never predicted anything. I won't be surprised whatever happens. But SSS will want to delete a lot of his posts if the repubs hold the house and senate.


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 Post subject: Re: Mid-terms prediction
PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 3:46 am 
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a1mamacat wrote:
either

Bob and Bob and SSS will beyotch

or Bit, Flock and Esto will Beyotch.
Wrong. Can you cite a single instance where I've bitched about an election result? I'll wait.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 9:22 am 
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My predictions:

Senate: Dems to pick up AZ, NV, and TX; Republicans to pick up ND, giving Democrats a 51-49 edge.
Governorship: Dems to pick up eight, including IL, FL, MI, making the split 26-24 R. There may be a runoff election here in GA which might depend on how everything else shakes out tomorrow.
House: Dems to pick up 35 seats (making the House 230-205 Democratic), including my district of GA6 and the adjacent suburban district GA7.

Senate control may depend on a runoff election in MS, which Republicans are fairly likely to win.

If the Senate is split 50/50, I think it's also 50/50 whether Lisa Murkowski announces before January that she will become an independent again and caucus with the Democrats.

No matter what happens, Donald Trump will take 100% of the credit for races in which Republicans do well and 0% of the blame for races in which Republicans do poorly.

Interesting notes: More people voted early in NV and TX than voted in total in 2014 in those states. Early voting by young voters (18-29) was up over 400% in GA and TX over 2014, over 700% in TN.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 10:19 am 
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silverscreenselect wrote:
My predictions:

Senate: Dems to pick up AZ, NV, and TX; Republicans to pick up ND, giving Democrats a 51-49 edge.
Governorship: Dems to pick up eight, including IL, FL, MI, making the split 26-24 R. There may be a runoff election here in GA which might depend on how everything else shakes out tomorrow.
House: Dems to pick up 35 seats (making the House 230-205 Democratic), including my district of GA6 and the adjacent suburban district GA7.

Senate control may depend on a runoff election in MS, which Republicans are fairly likely to win.

If the Senate is split 50/50, I think it's also 50/50 whether Lisa Murkowski announces before January that she will become an independent again and caucus with the Democrats.

No matter what happens, Donald Trump will take 100% of the credit for races in which Republicans do well and 0% of the blame for races in which Republicans do poorly.

Interesting notes: More people voted early in NV and TX than voted in total in 2014 in those states. Early voting by young voters (18-29) was up over 400% in GA and TX over 2014, over 700% in TN.

Your cousin Nate of 538 disagrees with you, saying there's only a 1 in 6 chance of the Democrats taking control. You didn't mention Missouri which is too close to call.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 10:29 am 
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Bob Juch wrote:
You didn't mention Missouri which is too close to call.


I only listed those that I thought would change hands. I think MO and IN will remain Democratic and TN will remain Republican. Nate is actually more bullish than me in the House, predicting currently a 39 seat Democratic pickup.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 11:00 am 
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My prediction:

If the right 'wins,' there will be two more years of whining, gnashing of teeth, stomping of feet, and pudendum chapeaus.
If the left 'wins,' the right will be grumpy, and then move on with the business of life.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 1:33 pm 
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My prediction:

The spelling error in the subject line remains unfixed.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 1:38 pm 
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Vandal wrote:
My prediction:

The spelling error in the subject line remains unfixed.


I miss Ed.

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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 6:02 pm 
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Vandal wrote:
My prediction:

The spelling error in the subject line remains unfixed.
Not in every post...

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 4:40 pm 
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tlynn78 wrote:
My prediction:

If the right 'wins,' there will be two more years of whining, gnashing of teeth, stomping of feet, and pudendum chapeaus.
If the left 'wins,' the right will be grumpy, and then move on with the business of life.
This isn't a game. For some people, it's literally life or death.

That's particularly true with respect to health care. McConnell has promised, if Republicans hold Congress, to take another crack at repealing the Affordable Care Act. And Republican officeholders all across the nation are trying to end coverage of pre-existing conditions. My son has pre-existing conditions. So does his mother -- she was recently diagnosed with diabetes. If not for Senator John McCain preventing the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, I'd spend the next years wondering and worrying whether the two of them would be able to obtain coverage at any price. And McConnell also wants to cut Medicare to help pay for the billionaires' tax cut, so it sounds like I have to worry about my own health care as well after I retire.

I can't help thinking about the young diabetic man who died not too long ago, a month or so after his 26th birthday, because he aged out of his parents' health insurance, tried to ration his insulin, and missed. So you're damn right that I'll maintain my clamor if Republicans win. My family's health and life are at risk, and there's no power on earth that can get me to stop fighting on their behalf. And in that cause I really don't care whose toes I have to step on. --Bob

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:27 pm 
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Bob78164 wrote:
tlynn78 wrote:
My prediction:

If the right 'wins,' there will be two more years of whining, gnashing of teeth, stomping of feet, and pudendum chapeaus.
If the left 'wins,' the right will be grumpy, and then move on with the business of life.
This isn't a game. For some people, it's literally life or death.

That's particularly true with respect to health care. McConnell has promised, if Republicans hold Congress, to take another crack at repealing the Affordable Care Act. And Republican officeholders all across the nation are trying to end coverage of pre-existing conditions. My son has pre-existing conditions. So does his mother -- she was recently diagnosed with diabetes. If not for Senator John McCain preventing the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, I'd spend the next years wondering and worrying whether the two of them would be able to obtain coverage at any price. And McConnell also wants to cut Medicare to help pay for the billionaires' tax cut, so it sounds like I have to worry about my own health care as well after I retire.

I can't help thinking about the young diabetic man who died not too long ago, a month or so after his 26th birthday, because he aged out of his parents' health insurance, tried to ration his insulin, and missed. So you're damn right that I'll maintain my clamor if Republicans win. My family's health and life are at risk, and there's no power on earth that can get me to stop fighting on their behalf. And in that cause I really don't care whose toes I have to step on. --Bob


Sounds like you're unwilling to pay for your son's medical needs.

You know who I keep thinking about? Rodney Joeseph Johnson and Kate Steinle.

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:37 pm 
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BackInTex wrote:
Bob78164 wrote:
tlynn78 wrote:
My prediction:

If the right 'wins,' there will be two more years of whining, gnashing of teeth, stomping of feet, and pudendum chapeaus.
If the left 'wins,' the right will be grumpy, and then move on with the business of life.
This isn't a game. For some people, it's literally life or death.

That's particularly true with respect to health care. McConnell has promised, if Republicans hold Congress, to take another crack at repealing the Affordable Care Act. And Republican officeholders all across the nation are trying to end coverage of pre-existing conditions. My son has pre-existing conditions. So does his mother -- she was recently diagnosed with diabetes. If not for Senator John McCain preventing the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, I'd spend the next years wondering and worrying whether the two of them would be able to obtain coverage at any price. And McConnell also wants to cut Medicare to help pay for the billionaires' tax cut, so it sounds like I have to worry about my own health care as well after I retire.

I can't help thinking about the young diabetic man who died not too long ago, a month or so after his 26th birthday, because he aged out of his parents' health insurance, tried to ration his insulin, and missed. So you're damn right that I'll maintain my clamor if Republicans win. My family's health and life are at risk, and there's no power on earth that can get me to stop fighting on their behalf. And in that cause I really don't care whose toes I have to step on. --Bob


Sounds like you're unwilling to pay for your son's medical needs.

You know who I keep thinking about? Rodney Joeseph Johnson and Kate Steinle.
If he can't get affordable coverage, I might not be able to afford his medical needs. One serious problem could result in hundreds of thousands of dollars in expenses. And that possibility is a lot more realistic, and happens to one helluva lot more people, than the scare tactics Donny has been using to demonize immigrants.

By the way, why do you think about those two victims (at least one of which was an accidental death, according to the jury) rather than, say, the victims of the Parkland shootings? Or the shootings at Marjory Stoneman Douglass? Or the kids from Sandy Hook? Just to name a few I can think of off the top of my head.

On that subject, please keep a good thought for 5LD. Her son's high school had a lockdown today. It's over, and everyone's all right, but I'm really tired of having this keep happening. --Bob

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 5:46 pm 
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Bob78164 wrote:
tlynn78 wrote:
My prediction:

If the right 'wins,' there will be two more years of whining, gnashing of teeth, stomping of feet, and pudendum chapeaus.
If the left 'wins,' the right will be grumpy, and then move on with the business of life.
This isn't a game. For some people, it's literally life or death.

That's particularly true with respect to health care. McConnell has promised, if Republicans hold Congress, to take another crack at repealing the Affordable Care Act. And Republican officeholders all across the nation are trying to end coverage of pre-existing conditions. My son has pre-existing conditions. So does his mother -- she was recently diagnosed with diabetes. If not for Senator John McCain preventing the repeal of the Affordable Care Act, I'd spend the next years wondering and worrying whether the two of them would be able to obtain coverage at any price. And McConnell also wants to cut Medicare to help pay for the billionaires' tax cut, so it sounds like I have to worry about my own health care as well after I retire.

I can't help thinking about the young diabetic man who died not too long ago, a month or so after his 26th birthday, because he aged out of his parents' health insurance, tried to ration his insulin, and missed. So you're damn right that I'll maintain my clamor if Republicans win. My family's health and life are at risk, and there's no power on earth that can get me to stop fighting on their behalf. And in that cause I really don't care whose toes I have to step on. --Bob
Also the thousands who will die because of pollution, climate change, being stuck in a war zone, and gun violence. The number killed by criminal immigrants and terrorists if Democrats win is much smaller.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 08, 2018 1:01 pm 
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Per usual post election day, I'm confused by Montana's purpleness.
How does Gianforte (R) won with a comfortable 25,049 vote lead, but Rosendale (R) lost to Tester by 15,318. It's weird to me that Rosendale didn't get at least as many votes as Gianforte, especially given that Rosendale didn't 'bodyslam' anyone.
Closer to home, we will have two new judicial departments in the new year, and in one, the winner (D-although listed on the ballot as non-partisan; most everyone knows who's D and who's R) in one department has a comfortable 7700 vote lead over the R candidate (both good attorneys who would do a good job), but in the other race, the Dem is leading the R by only 59 votes. where did those 7700 voters go, who went Dem in the other department? The (D) candidate is a much stronger candidate, in my opinion, and I just can't figure where her support went. Just weird.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 08, 2018 1:12 pm 
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I so wish that diabetic kid had told the diabetic community of his troubles. A lot of us type 2s could have come up with enough insulin pens to keep this type 1 (who needed a lot more/day than we do) alive.

But he should have been covered by a National Health plan, & would have been in a civilized country.


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