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PostPosted: Mon Nov 05, 2018 10:21 am 
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Final pre-election generic preference Congressional poll.

CNN D+13
Rasmussen R+1

FWIW, Rasmussen consistently shows among the highest Republican poll results. Most of the other polls seem to show a D +7 or +8 advantage.

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PostPosted: Tue Nov 06, 2018 8:22 am 
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Location: Cincinnati, OH, USA
I never look at the generic party preference polls. I look only at the polls of individual U.S. House races. Not counting the pure tossup races:

Cook shows a minimum net gain of 17 Democratic seats. (Low prediction.)
Politico shows a minimum net gain of 24 Democratic seats. (Average prediction.)
Sabato shows a minimum net gain of 35 Democratic seats. (High prediction.)

The Democratic Party needs a net gain of only 23 seats to reclaim the House. I say "net gain" because it's almost guaranteed that MN-8 will flip to Republican, as longtime DFL representative Rick Nolan called it quits earlier this year in his failed attempt to seek the DFL nomination for Lieutenant Governor.

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